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"Open the Strait"; Luxury Expansion in Middle East; Saudi Oil Sales to China Drop

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Tuesday, April 14, 2026

Happy Tuesday everyone!

Markets are bracing for heightened geopolitical and economic volatility as tensions around the Strait of Hormuz escalate, with Gulf energy leaders warning of potential global fallout and the U.S. signaling readiness to enforce maritime access. At the same time, Saudi oil shipments to China are set to halve as disrupted crude flows and rising prices reshape global energy trade. Despite the uncertainty, luxury retailers continue to look beyond short-term risks, with Mytheresa reaffirming long-term plans to expand in the Middle East, betting on resilient high-net-worth demand across the region.

In the wake of developments in the region, we hope everyone stays safe. At this critical moment, it is essential to remain united and follow guidance issued by official authorities from your country.

Markets

EGX30

49,078.60

Closed

DFMGI

5,668.26

0.826%

ADX

9,785.62

0.536%

Tadawul

11,414.92

0.89%

ADNOC Chief Warns Of Global Fallout As Hormuz Tensions Escalate And US Signals Blockade

What Is It About?

Sultan Ahmed Al Jaber, CEO of Abu Dhabi National Oil Company, has warned that escalating threats to the Strait of Hormuz could disrupt a vital global trade route. His comments come as Donald Trump signaled the U.S. would act to block any attempt to restrict navigation through the waterway.

Why It Matters?

Hormuz handles a significant share of the world’s oil shipments, making it a critical artery for global energy flows. Since late February, attacks have targeted dozens of vessels, leaving seafarers stranded and hundreds of ships delayed. Any prolonged disruption risks driving up oil prices, freight costs, and insurance premiums—while threatening global energy, food, and health security.

What’s Next?

With Gulf producers and Washington aligned on keeping the route open, the situation risks escalating into a broader geopolitical flashpoint. Markets are closely watching for potential military enforcement, while industry players brace for tighter crude supply and higher shipping costs if tensions persist or worsen.

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Luxury Retailer Mytheresa Bets On Long-Term Middle East Expansion Despite Regional Tensions

What Is It About?

Mytheresa is pressing ahead with expansion plans in the Middle East, even as geopolitical tensions weigh on travel and retail activity. CEO Francis Belin told FT the company remains committed to a long-term strategy in the region, which already contributes करीब 10% of revenues, with key markets including Dubai and Saudi Arabia.

Why It Matters?

The move underscores confidence in the Gulf’s concentration of high-net-worth consumers, even during periods of instability. While some rivals have struggled or collapsed, Mytheresa’s focus on full-price luxury, loyal clients, and curated experiences has sustained profitability—positioning it to invest when others are retrenching.

What’s Next?

Mytheresa plans to ramp up investment in marketing, personal shopping, and exclusive events, while expanding into jewellery and menswear. Within LuxExperience, the broader strategy will also balance regional growth with selective expansion in Asia, particularly China, as the group looks to capture long-term luxury demand.

Saudi Oil Sales To China Halve As Hormuz Crisis Disrupts Global Crude Flows

What Is It About?

Saudi Arabia’s crude exports to China are set to fall sharply next month, with shipments expected to drop from around 40 million barrels in April to about 20 million in May, according to traders. The reduction comes as Saudi Aramco adjusts flows amid disruption linked to the ongoing conflict in the Middle East and rising price volatility.

Why It Matters?

The supply cut reflects broader instability in global oil markets after the effective disruption of the Strait of Hormuz, a key export route for Gulf producers. With benchmark crude prices surging and alternative export routes limited, Asian refiners are facing tighter supply and higher costs, adding pressure to global energy markets already strained by conflict.

What’s Next?

With Saudi export capacity constrained and pricing at record premiums, traders expect continued volatility as flows are rerouted through limited infrastructure such as Yanbu. Market focus now shifts to whether geopolitical tensions ease or escalate further, particularly after failed US-Iran talks and renewed threats to restrict maritime traffic in the Gulf.

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👨‍💻From Smashi Business’ Desk

  • US billionaire Bill Ackman has launched a €55bn bid to take Universal Music Group private

  • Dubai-based Independent Food Company is hiring across roles including marketing, content and hospitality.

  • In a striking move that defies industry trends, Alsayegh Worldwide has made a bold commitment to its workforce. Leadership vows there will be no salary reductions and no job losses through 2026.⁠

  • Saudi Research & Media Group (SRMG) is rewriting the rules of media in MENA.

  • Semafor is doubling down on the Gulf. The Semafor is expanding to a five-day publishing schedule, scaling hiring, and growing its events business as global attention on the region surges.

  • Telegram founder and UAE citizen Pavel Durov said Iran’s ban on the platform has led to widespread VPN usage rather than adoption of state-backed messaging apps.

🔍In other news…

  • Saudi oil exports take 700,000-bpd hit from Iranian attacks

  • UAE’s Al Habtoor plans $1.4bn commercial tower in Dubai

  • DIFC and DFSA unveil relief measures to help Dubai financial firms navigate Iran war fallout

  • IMF chief warns Iran war could lead to higher interest rates

  • UAE to participate in World Bank, IMF Spring Meetings in Washington mid-April

  • Sharjah’s resilient economy drives growth in key sectors

🦄 World of Startups

  • Egypt’s Lucky Raises USD 23M Series B. Its Consumer Credit Model is Expanding Into North Africa

  • “We Got Funded!” Maison Safqa Raises US$620,000 in Pre-Seed Funding to Expand Luxury Flash-Sale Platform Across GCC

  • Via Separations, US-based deeptech startup, raised $36M in funding from Aramco Ventures (Saudi), and other global investors.

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